Integrating cluster analysis, geometric brownian motion and analytic hierarchy process in capital allocation / Siti Nazifah Zainol Abidin

Investment in stock market is a way of generating extra money. Essentially, the objectives of investment are to reduce the risk, increase the return and better diversification of capital investment. However, investment involves risk and investment in stock market is risky. Wise investment decision h...

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Main Author: Zainol Abidin, Siti Nazifah
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: 2014
Online Access:https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/16459/1/TM_SITI%20NAZIFAH%20ZAINOL%20ABIDIN%20CS%2014_5.pdf
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spelling my-uitm-ir.164592022-04-08T07:12:12Z Integrating cluster analysis, geometric brownian motion and analytic hierarchy process in capital allocation / Siti Nazifah Zainol Abidin 2014-01 Zainol Abidin, Siti Nazifah Investment in stock market is a way of generating extra money. Essentially, the objectives of investment are to reduce the risk, increase the return and better diversification of capital investment. However, investment involves risk and investment in stock market is risky. Wise investment decision has to be made in order to prevent any loss of capital investment. As to help the investors, this study proposed four stages of investment framework which are selecting, forecasting, distributing and estimating profit. The proposed method can be used to select the right stocks, forecast the future prices, distributing the capital investment and estimating the profit gained. The mathematical models involved are cluster analysis, geometric Brownian motion and analytic hierarchy process. The effectiveness of the proposed method is tested on a real investment situation in Bursa Malaysia involving small size companies. Furthermore, methodology is build to group a large amount of stocks into several clusters based on their performance and selected the clusters that gave high return to proceed with forecasting future closing prices. Then, eight stocks from the higher percentage increase of forecasted return are selected to carry on with distribution proportion of capital investment. Profit estimation can be made after all the stages are analyzed. It is found this proposed method is able to reduce the risk of loss, increase the return and better diversification of capital investment. 2014-01 Thesis https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/16459/ https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/16459/1/TM_SITI%20NAZIFAH%20ZAINOL%20ABIDIN%20CS%2014_5.pdf text en public mphil masters Universiti Teknologi MARA Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Sciences Mohd Jaffar, Maheran (Associate Professor Dr.)
institution Universiti Teknologi MARA
collection UiTM Institutional Repository
language English
advisor Mohd Jaffar, Maheran (Associate Professor Dr.)
description Investment in stock market is a way of generating extra money. Essentially, the objectives of investment are to reduce the risk, increase the return and better diversification of capital investment. However, investment involves risk and investment in stock market is risky. Wise investment decision has to be made in order to prevent any loss of capital investment. As to help the investors, this study proposed four stages of investment framework which are selecting, forecasting, distributing and estimating profit. The proposed method can be used to select the right stocks, forecast the future prices, distributing the capital investment and estimating the profit gained. The mathematical models involved are cluster analysis, geometric Brownian motion and analytic hierarchy process. The effectiveness of the proposed method is tested on a real investment situation in Bursa Malaysia involving small size companies. Furthermore, methodology is build to group a large amount of stocks into several clusters based on their performance and selected the clusters that gave high return to proceed with forecasting future closing prices. Then, eight stocks from the higher percentage increase of forecasted return are selected to carry on with distribution proportion of capital investment. Profit estimation can be made after all the stages are analyzed. It is found this proposed method is able to reduce the risk of loss, increase the return and better diversification of capital investment.
format Thesis
qualification_name Master of Philosophy (M.Phil.)
qualification_level Master's degree
author Zainol Abidin, Siti Nazifah
spellingShingle Zainol Abidin, Siti Nazifah
Integrating cluster analysis, geometric brownian motion and analytic hierarchy process in capital allocation / Siti Nazifah Zainol Abidin
author_facet Zainol Abidin, Siti Nazifah
author_sort Zainol Abidin, Siti Nazifah
title Integrating cluster analysis, geometric brownian motion and analytic hierarchy process in capital allocation / Siti Nazifah Zainol Abidin
title_short Integrating cluster analysis, geometric brownian motion and analytic hierarchy process in capital allocation / Siti Nazifah Zainol Abidin
title_full Integrating cluster analysis, geometric brownian motion and analytic hierarchy process in capital allocation / Siti Nazifah Zainol Abidin
title_fullStr Integrating cluster analysis, geometric brownian motion and analytic hierarchy process in capital allocation / Siti Nazifah Zainol Abidin
title_full_unstemmed Integrating cluster analysis, geometric brownian motion and analytic hierarchy process in capital allocation / Siti Nazifah Zainol Abidin
title_sort integrating cluster analysis, geometric brownian motion and analytic hierarchy process in capital allocation / siti nazifah zainol abidin
granting_institution Universiti Teknologi MARA
granting_department Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Sciences
publishDate 2014
url https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/16459/1/TM_SITI%20NAZIFAH%20ZAINOL%20ABIDIN%20CS%2014_5.pdf
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