Forecasting paddy production at Muda Agricultural Development Authority (MADA) / Norziela Binti Rosli

This study is concerned to the application of forecasting techniques for some selected paddy production by MUDA agricultural development authority (MADA) which covers the period of 1990 until 2010.The objectives of this study are to identify the pattern of paddy production, to determine the best for...

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Main Author:	Rosli, Norziela
Format:	Thesis
Language:	English
Published:	2011
Subjects:	H Social Sciences (General)
Online Access:	https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/32890/1/32890.pdf
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id	my-uitm-ir.32890
record_format	uketd_dc
spelling	my-uitm-ir.328902020-07-27T07:54:43Z Forecasting paddy production at Muda Agricultural Development Authority (MADA) / Norziela Binti Rosli 2011 Rosli, Norziela H Social Sciences (General) Study and teaching. Research This study is concerned to the application of forecasting techniques for some selected paddy production by MUDA agricultural development authority (MADA) which covers the period of 1990 until 2010.The objectives of this study are to identify the pattern of paddy production, to determine the best forecasting model and to predict the forecast values for year 2011 to 2015. Three different model types of forecasting are chosen for comparisons which are the naïve model, methods of average and exponential smoothing techniques, and the Box-Jenkins Methodology. All the best models of forecasting for paddy production are identified and selected based on the minimum of Mean Square Error (MSE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) value. According to the results, the Box-Jenkins Methodology with ARIMA modeling fit all the price series well and they are capable of predicting the future values. As a conclusion the best forecasting model for paddy production by MADA is ARIMA (1,2,1) 2011 Thesis https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/32890/ https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/32890/1/32890.pdf text en public degree Universiti Teknologi MARA Cawangan Kelantan Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Sciences Azizan, Nurul Hafizah
institution	Universiti Teknologi MARA
collection	UiTM Institutional Repository
language	English
advisor	Azizan, Nurul Hafizah
topic	H Social Sciences (General) H Social Sciences (General)
spellingShingle	H Social Sciences (General) H Social Sciences (General) Rosli, Norziela Forecasting paddy production at Muda Agricultural Development Authority (MADA) / Norziela Binti Rosli
description	This study is concerned to the application of forecasting techniques for some selected paddy production by MUDA agricultural development authority (MADA) which covers the period of 1990 until 2010.The objectives of this study are to identify the pattern of paddy production, to determine the best forecasting model and to predict the forecast values for year 2011 to 2015. Three different model types of forecasting are chosen for comparisons which are the naïve model, methods of average and exponential smoothing techniques, and the Box-Jenkins Methodology. All the best models of forecasting for paddy production are identified and selected based on the minimum of Mean Square Error (MSE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) value. According to the results, the Box-Jenkins Methodology with ARIMA modeling fit all the price series well and they are capable of predicting the future values. As a conclusion the best forecasting model for paddy production by MADA is ARIMA (1,2,1)
format	Thesis
qualification_level	Bachelor degree
author	Rosli, Norziela
author_facet	Rosli, Norziela
author_sort	Rosli, Norziela
title	Forecasting paddy production at Muda Agricultural Development Authority (MADA) / Norziela Binti Rosli
title_short	Forecasting paddy production at Muda Agricultural Development Authority (MADA) / Norziela Binti Rosli
title_full	Forecasting paddy production at Muda Agricultural Development Authority (MADA) / Norziela Binti Rosli
title_fullStr	Forecasting paddy production at Muda Agricultural Development Authority (MADA) / Norziela Binti Rosli
title_full_unstemmed	Forecasting paddy production at Muda Agricultural Development Authority (MADA) / Norziela Binti Rosli
title_sort	forecasting paddy production at muda agricultural development authority (mada) / norziela binti rosli
granting_institution	Universiti Teknologi MARA Cawangan Kelantan
granting_department	Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Sciences
publishDate	2011
url	https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/32890/1/32890.pdf
_version_	1783734188307906560

Forecasting paddy production at Muda Agricultural Development Authority (MADA) / Norziela Binti Rosli

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