Economic Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in BRICS Countries

Economic uncertainty is being concerned due to the prolonged impacts of financial reforms in the past, which in turn give rise to the proposal of revising the conventional money demand function. This study examines the significance of economic uncertainty, as one of the determinants of money demand...

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Main Author: Tan, Wen Hsien
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: 2020
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Online Access:http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/29931/2/Tan%20Wen%20Hsien.pdf
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spelling my-unimas-ir.299312024-02-19T06:05:32Z Economic Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in BRICS Countries 2020-06-04 Tan, Wen Hsien HB Economic Theory HC Economic History and Conditions Economic uncertainty is being concerned due to the prolonged impacts of financial reforms in the past, which in turn give rise to the proposal of revising the conventional money demand function. This study examines the significance of economic uncertainty, as one of the determinants of money demand function in Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, namely BRICS countries by determining the long-run relationship between the real money demand (real broad money or RM2) and the economic uncertainty, and other control variables as well. Quarterly data is employed in this study starting from 2001:Q1 to 2018:Q4. The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model, specifically GARCH (1, 1) model is employed as preliminary test to extract the volatilities from the macroeconomic variables and hence, construct the Economic Uncertainty Index (EUI). The long-run relationship is determined through the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach. The result shows there is a long-run relationship between the real money demand and the economic uncertainty. Stable real money demand function in BRICS countries are established through the CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests. Thus, EUI able to assist RM2 on refining the effectiveness of monetary policy in BRICS countries. As well, RM2 is evidently appropriate to be used as indicator while implementing monetary policy. Universiti Malaysia Sarawak, (UNIMAS) 2020-06 Thesis http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/29931/ http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/29931/2/Tan%20Wen%20Hsien.pdf text en validuser masters Universiti Malaysia Sarawak Faculty of Economics and Business
institution Universiti Malaysia Sarawak
collection UNIMAS Institutional Repository
language English
topic HB Economic Theory
HC Economic History and Conditions
spellingShingle HB Economic Theory
HC Economic History and Conditions
Tan, Wen Hsien
Economic Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in BRICS Countries
description Economic uncertainty is being concerned due to the prolonged impacts of financial reforms in the past, which in turn give rise to the proposal of revising the conventional money demand function. This study examines the significance of economic uncertainty, as one of the determinants of money demand function in Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, namely BRICS countries by determining the long-run relationship between the real money demand (real broad money or RM2) and the economic uncertainty, and other control variables as well. Quarterly data is employed in this study starting from 2001:Q1 to 2018:Q4. The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model, specifically GARCH (1, 1) model is employed as preliminary test to extract the volatilities from the macroeconomic variables and hence, construct the Economic Uncertainty Index (EUI). The long-run relationship is determined through the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach. The result shows there is a long-run relationship between the real money demand and the economic uncertainty. Stable real money demand function in BRICS countries are established through the CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests. Thus, EUI able to assist RM2 on refining the effectiveness of monetary policy in BRICS countries. As well, RM2 is evidently appropriate to be used as indicator while implementing monetary policy.
format Thesis
qualification_level Master's degree
author Tan, Wen Hsien
author_facet Tan, Wen Hsien
author_sort Tan, Wen Hsien
title Economic Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in BRICS Countries
title_short Economic Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in BRICS Countries
title_full Economic Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in BRICS Countries
title_fullStr Economic Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in BRICS Countries
title_full_unstemmed Economic Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in BRICS Countries
title_sort economic uncertainty and the demand for money in brics countries
granting_institution Universiti Malaysia Sarawak
granting_department Faculty of Economics and Business
publishDate 2020
url http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/29931/2/Tan%20Wen%20Hsien.pdf
_version_ 1794023008548945920