Climate and land use changes in relation to runoff variability in the Kelantan River Basin using SCS-CN and geospatial technology

Increasing magnitude and frequency of catastrophic natural disasters such as floods proves that climate change is unequivocal. It is related to prolonged and extreme rainfall (>500ARI), in addition to massive land use conversion that contributed to severe flooding in 2014. To clarify the local...

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Main Author: Ahmad Shafuan, Mohammad Faizalhakim
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: 2017
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Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/70900/1/FH%202017%209%20IR.pdf
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spelling my-upm-ir.709002019-08-29T07:18:02Z Climate and land use changes in relation to runoff variability in the Kelantan River Basin using SCS-CN and geospatial technology 2017-09 Ahmad Shafuan, Mohammad Faizalhakim Increasing magnitude and frequency of catastrophic natural disasters such as floods proves that climate change is unequivocal. It is related to prolonged and extreme rainfall (>500ARI), in addition to massive land use conversion that contributed to severe flooding in 2014. To clarify the local debate on causes of flooding, this study integrates SCS-CN and geospatial analysis to investigate the effects of land use and climate change on runoff based on historical data from 1984 to 2014 in the Kelantan River Basin. From 1984 to 2014, the climate in Kelantan River Basin is discovered increasing trends in terms of rainfall (41.13 mm year-1), rain days (1.58 days year-1) and temperature (0.07°C year-1). While, the rates of deforestation in Kelantan River Basin was 8,870 ha year-1 and an expansion of rubber and oil palm plantations was 1,480 and 4,060 ha year-1, respectively. It is resulting to gradual increase by 120 and 164% in the estimated runoff using SCS-CN in the Kelantan River Basin on 2004 and 2014, respectively. The results suggest that steady deforestation and gradual expansion of oil palm and rubber plantation, as well as global and localised climate change, intensified the runoff generation in the basin. The correlation analysis suggests that the climate change as being more influential than land use changes towards runoff generation. While the SCS-CN method on a localised scale revealed that large agriculture expansion is a major contributor to runoff, as compared to rainfall events. The extensive land clearing areas found in the hilly areas, unclear buffer zone, poor soil conservation practices and poor drainage system as the contributors to high potential runoff areas (i.e. Gua Musang, Lojing, Pergau, Kuala Betis, Jeli, Kuala Krai and Kota Bharu) are among the factors contributing to high runoff. Integrated land use management and river basin management approach should be extensively implemented to lessen the consequences on the environment while maximising the benefit to economic and social aspects. Land use - Kelantan Rivers - Kelantan Geographic information systems 2017-09 Thesis http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/70900/ http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/70900/1/FH%202017%209%20IR.pdf text en public masters Universiti Putra Malaysia Land use - Kelantan Rivers - Kelantan Geographic information systems
institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
collection PSAS Institutional Repository
language English
topic Land use - Kelantan
Rivers - Kelantan
Geographic information systems
spellingShingle Land use - Kelantan
Rivers - Kelantan
Geographic information systems
Ahmad Shafuan, Mohammad Faizalhakim
Climate and land use changes in relation to runoff variability in the Kelantan River Basin using SCS-CN and geospatial technology
description Increasing magnitude and frequency of catastrophic natural disasters such as floods proves that climate change is unequivocal. It is related to prolonged and extreme rainfall (>500ARI), in addition to massive land use conversion that contributed to severe flooding in 2014. To clarify the local debate on causes of flooding, this study integrates SCS-CN and geospatial analysis to investigate the effects of land use and climate change on runoff based on historical data from 1984 to 2014 in the Kelantan River Basin. From 1984 to 2014, the climate in Kelantan River Basin is discovered increasing trends in terms of rainfall (41.13 mm year-1), rain days (1.58 days year-1) and temperature (0.07°C year-1). While, the rates of deforestation in Kelantan River Basin was 8,870 ha year-1 and an expansion of rubber and oil palm plantations was 1,480 and 4,060 ha year-1, respectively. It is resulting to gradual increase by 120 and 164% in the estimated runoff using SCS-CN in the Kelantan River Basin on 2004 and 2014, respectively. The results suggest that steady deforestation and gradual expansion of oil palm and rubber plantation, as well as global and localised climate change, intensified the runoff generation in the basin. The correlation analysis suggests that the climate change as being more influential than land use changes towards runoff generation. While the SCS-CN method on a localised scale revealed that large agriculture expansion is a major contributor to runoff, as compared to rainfall events. The extensive land clearing areas found in the hilly areas, unclear buffer zone, poor soil conservation practices and poor drainage system as the contributors to high potential runoff areas (i.e. Gua Musang, Lojing, Pergau, Kuala Betis, Jeli, Kuala Krai and Kota Bharu) are among the factors contributing to high runoff. Integrated land use management and river basin management approach should be extensively implemented to lessen the consequences on the environment while maximising the benefit to economic and social aspects.
format Thesis
qualification_level Master's degree
author Ahmad Shafuan, Mohammad Faizalhakim
author_facet Ahmad Shafuan, Mohammad Faizalhakim
author_sort Ahmad Shafuan, Mohammad Faizalhakim
title Climate and land use changes in relation to runoff variability in the Kelantan River Basin using SCS-CN and geospatial technology
title_short Climate and land use changes in relation to runoff variability in the Kelantan River Basin using SCS-CN and geospatial technology
title_full Climate and land use changes in relation to runoff variability in the Kelantan River Basin using SCS-CN and geospatial technology
title_fullStr Climate and land use changes in relation to runoff variability in the Kelantan River Basin using SCS-CN and geospatial technology
title_full_unstemmed Climate and land use changes in relation to runoff variability in the Kelantan River Basin using SCS-CN and geospatial technology
title_sort climate and land use changes in relation to runoff variability in the kelantan river basin using scs-cn and geospatial technology
granting_institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
publishDate 2017
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/70900/1/FH%202017%209%20IR.pdf
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