Survival analysis of food security in Asian countries

This study focuses on using the survival analysis on food security application. The technique examines the effects of covariates on food insecurity among Asian countries in the period of 40 years since 1961. The analysis is carried out in order to determine the ‘warning sign’ of food insecurity cond...

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Main Author: Fitrianto, Anwar
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: 2005
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Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/71472/1/FPSK%28M%29%202005%2018%20IR.pdf
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spelling my-upm-ir.714722019-11-21T06:16:45Z Survival analysis of food security in Asian countries 2005-04 Fitrianto, Anwar This study focuses on using the survival analysis on food security application. The technique examines the effects of covariates on food insecurity among Asian countries in the period of 40 years since 1961. The analysis is carried out in order to determine the ‘warning sign’ of food insecurity condition. The data sources are from FAO and World Bank online database which include some particulars of 32 Asian countries. It is observed that 21 of 32 (65.62%) countries experienced insecurity food condition. The remaining are censored observations (34.38%). The stepwise Cox’s regression is used to select among the 24 independent covariates that are deemed to be significant contribution to the model. Initial run of the SAS code finds that six covariates are significant. Based on the adopted model, at each time point, the West Asian region are found to be more likely to have insecurity food condition compared to those countries in the other regions. Furthermore, the occurrence of food security for East Asia countries are more likely than for those in the other region. Meanwhile, it can also be seen that countries in Lower-middle income group are more likely to reach insecurity food condition than those in the other group. The analysis also shows that the high income countries have high risk of exposure to insecurity food condition. Since Cox regression analysis has the basic assumption of proportionality, the model was tested whether it meets this condition. We use graphical method and formal test of this assumption . In the presence of ties, the ties-handling method of Breslow, Efron, Exact, and Discrete are compared with respect to Wald statistics, parameter estimate, the hazard ratio, and p-value. The availability of the determined dataset as in allows assessing categories of food insecurity; Low, Medium, or High, which is useful to describe the nature of the food insecurity conditions. Based on the analysis, we are able to find variables that play important role on each stage of food insecurity condition of each country. Food supply 2005-04 Thesis http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/71472/ http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/71472/1/FPSK%28M%29%202005%2018%20IR.pdf text en public masters Universiti Putra Malaysia Food supply
institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
collection PSAS Institutional Repository
language English
topic Food supply


spellingShingle Food supply


Fitrianto, Anwar
Survival analysis of food security in Asian countries
description This study focuses on using the survival analysis on food security application. The technique examines the effects of covariates on food insecurity among Asian countries in the period of 40 years since 1961. The analysis is carried out in order to determine the ‘warning sign’ of food insecurity condition. The data sources are from FAO and World Bank online database which include some particulars of 32 Asian countries. It is observed that 21 of 32 (65.62%) countries experienced insecurity food condition. The remaining are censored observations (34.38%). The stepwise Cox’s regression is used to select among the 24 independent covariates that are deemed to be significant contribution to the model. Initial run of the SAS code finds that six covariates are significant. Based on the adopted model, at each time point, the West Asian region are found to be more likely to have insecurity food condition compared to those countries in the other regions. Furthermore, the occurrence of food security for East Asia countries are more likely than for those in the other region. Meanwhile, it can also be seen that countries in Lower-middle income group are more likely to reach insecurity food condition than those in the other group. The analysis also shows that the high income countries have high risk of exposure to insecurity food condition. Since Cox regression analysis has the basic assumption of proportionality, the model was tested whether it meets this condition. We use graphical method and formal test of this assumption . In the presence of ties, the ties-handling method of Breslow, Efron, Exact, and Discrete are compared with respect to Wald statistics, parameter estimate, the hazard ratio, and p-value. The availability of the determined dataset as in allows assessing categories of food insecurity; Low, Medium, or High, which is useful to describe the nature of the food insecurity conditions. Based on the analysis, we are able to find variables that play important role on each stage of food insecurity condition of each country.
format Thesis
qualification_level Master's degree
author Fitrianto, Anwar
author_facet Fitrianto, Anwar
author_sort Fitrianto, Anwar
title Survival analysis of food security in Asian countries
title_short Survival analysis of food security in Asian countries
title_full Survival analysis of food security in Asian countries
title_fullStr Survival analysis of food security in Asian countries
title_full_unstemmed Survival analysis of food security in Asian countries
title_sort survival analysis of food security in asian countries
granting_institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
publishDate 2005
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/71472/1/FPSK%28M%29%202005%2018%20IR.pdf
_version_ 1747813008931815424