Non-Linear Dependence in ASEAN-5 Foreign Exchange Rates: An Insight from a Battery of Non-Linearity Tests

The main purpose of this study is to provide a deeper insight into the non-linear generating mechanism in the ASEAN-5 exchange rate returns series. To achieve that end, the differing power of the non-linear tests against certain alternatives is utilized. Specifically, the BDS and Hinich bispectru...

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Main Author: Lim, Kian Ping
Format: Thesis
Language:English
English
Published: 2001
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Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/8289/1/FEP_2001_3_ir.pdf
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spelling my-upm-ir.82892023-12-21T01:57:57Z Non-Linear Dependence in ASEAN-5 Foreign Exchange Rates: An Insight from a Battery of Non-Linearity Tests 2001-12 Lim, Kian Ping The main purpose of this study is to provide a deeper insight into the non-linear generating mechanism in the ASEAN-5 exchange rate returns series. To achieve that end, the differing power of the non-linear tests against certain alternatives is utilized. Specifically, the BDS and Hinich bispectrum tests are employed which provide valuable information on the adequacy of the current framework of ARCH-type models in capturing the non-linear dynamics in ASEAN-5 currencies. Daily data is used in this study covering the period from 1 990 to March 200 1 . The five ASEAN countries selected are Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines. The results from the BDS test indicate strong evidences of non-linearity in the ASEAN-5 exchange rate series. However, this conveys little information on the nature of the detected non-linearity since the BDS test has high power against vast class of alternatives. Further application of the Hinich bispectrum test can provide valuable non-linear identification information, in which the results reveal strong evidences against the adequacy of the ARCH-type models in explaining the nonlinear dynamics in ASEAN-5 exchange rate series. The evidences of non-linearity in ASEAN-5 currencies have profound implications on the validity of weak-form market efficient hypothesis, model adequacy as well as the pricing of future derivatives. Furthermore, the results might prompt economists or policy makers to consider alternative policy advice based on models characterised by non-linear dynamics. Finance Taxation Economics 2001-12 Thesis http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/8289/ http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/8289/1/FEP_2001_3_ir.pdf text en public masters Universiti Putra Malaysia Finance Taxation Economics Faculty of Economics and Management Mohamed, Azali English
institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
collection PSAS Institutional Repository
language English
English
advisor Mohamed, Azali
topic Finance
Taxation
Economics
spellingShingle Finance
Taxation
Economics
Lim, Kian Ping
Non-Linear Dependence in ASEAN-5 Foreign Exchange Rates: An Insight from a Battery of Non-Linearity Tests
description The main purpose of this study is to provide a deeper insight into the non-linear generating mechanism in the ASEAN-5 exchange rate returns series. To achieve that end, the differing power of the non-linear tests against certain alternatives is utilized. Specifically, the BDS and Hinich bispectrum tests are employed which provide valuable information on the adequacy of the current framework of ARCH-type models in capturing the non-linear dynamics in ASEAN-5 currencies. Daily data is used in this study covering the period from 1 990 to March 200 1 . The five ASEAN countries selected are Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines. The results from the BDS test indicate strong evidences of non-linearity in the ASEAN-5 exchange rate series. However, this conveys little information on the nature of the detected non-linearity since the BDS test has high power against vast class of alternatives. Further application of the Hinich bispectrum test can provide valuable non-linear identification information, in which the results reveal strong evidences against the adequacy of the ARCH-type models in explaining the nonlinear dynamics in ASEAN-5 exchange rate series. The evidences of non-linearity in ASEAN-5 currencies have profound implications on the validity of weak-form market efficient hypothesis, model adequacy as well as the pricing of future derivatives. Furthermore, the results might prompt economists or policy makers to consider alternative policy advice based on models characterised by non-linear dynamics.
format Thesis
qualification_level Master's degree
author Lim, Kian Ping
author_facet Lim, Kian Ping
author_sort Lim, Kian Ping
title Non-Linear Dependence in ASEAN-5 Foreign Exchange Rates: An Insight from a Battery of Non-Linearity Tests
title_short Non-Linear Dependence in ASEAN-5 Foreign Exchange Rates: An Insight from a Battery of Non-Linearity Tests
title_full Non-Linear Dependence in ASEAN-5 Foreign Exchange Rates: An Insight from a Battery of Non-Linearity Tests
title_fullStr Non-Linear Dependence in ASEAN-5 Foreign Exchange Rates: An Insight from a Battery of Non-Linearity Tests
title_full_unstemmed Non-Linear Dependence in ASEAN-5 Foreign Exchange Rates: An Insight from a Battery of Non-Linearity Tests
title_sort non-linear dependence in asean-5 foreign exchange rates: an insight from a battery of non-linearity tests
granting_institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
granting_department Faculty of Economics and Management
publishDate 2001
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/8289/1/FEP_2001_3_ir.pdf
_version_ 1794018733753106432