Stochastic streamflow analysis and simulation using disaggregation model

Synthetic hydrological series is beneficial for the water resources planning, management and design purposes such as evaluating water supply management decision and reservoir design. Stochastically generated data can be used in any fields of study that use historical data. It would produce a better...

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Main Author: Mustapha, Azwan
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: 2012
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Online Access:http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/32530/1/AzwanMustaphaMFKA2012.pdf
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spelling my-utm-ep.325302017-08-21T06:43:05Z Stochastic streamflow analysis and simulation using disaggregation model 2012 Mustapha, Azwan T Technology (General) Synthetic hydrological series is beneficial for the water resources planning, management and design purposes such as evaluating water supply management decision and reservoir design. Stochastically generated data can be used in any fields of study that use historical data. It would produce a better result for any application where the result depends on the time series pattern. Therefore, this study examines three stochastic disaggregation models that are capable of reproducing statistical parameters especially means and standard deviation of historical data series. The objectives of this study are to test, identify and confirm the best stochastic disaggregation model in generating synthetic data series. Stochastic Analysis Modeling and Simulation (SAMS-2000) is used to generate the synthetic hydrological data series. The method is applied for single site cases and comparison is made between three disaggregation models namely Valencia and Schaake model, Mejia and Rouselle model, and Lane model. The simulations of monthly streamflow are carried out for five stations from Kedah, Perak and Selangor. The comparison of results shows that Valencia and Schaake (VLSH) model is the most satisfactory and robust model that preserves both monthly and annual statistical parameters of the historical data sequences. This is true for both untransformed and transformed series. Therefore, it is recommended to use VLSH model for simulation of water resources in study area. 2012 Thesis http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/32530/ http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/32530/1/AzwanMustaphaMFKA2012.pdf application/pdf en public http://dms.library.utm.my:8080/vital/access/manager/Repository/vital:77815?queryType=vitalDismax&query=Stochastic+streamflow+analysis+and+simulation+using+disaggregation+model&public=true masters Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Faculty of Civil Engineering Faculty of Civil Engineering
institution Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
collection UTM Institutional Repository
language English
topic T Technology (General)
spellingShingle T Technology (General)
Mustapha, Azwan
Stochastic streamflow analysis and simulation using disaggregation model
description Synthetic hydrological series is beneficial for the water resources planning, management and design purposes such as evaluating water supply management decision and reservoir design. Stochastically generated data can be used in any fields of study that use historical data. It would produce a better result for any application where the result depends on the time series pattern. Therefore, this study examines three stochastic disaggregation models that are capable of reproducing statistical parameters especially means and standard deviation of historical data series. The objectives of this study are to test, identify and confirm the best stochastic disaggregation model in generating synthetic data series. Stochastic Analysis Modeling and Simulation (SAMS-2000) is used to generate the synthetic hydrological data series. The method is applied for single site cases and comparison is made between three disaggregation models namely Valencia and Schaake model, Mejia and Rouselle model, and Lane model. The simulations of monthly streamflow are carried out for five stations from Kedah, Perak and Selangor. The comparison of results shows that Valencia and Schaake (VLSH) model is the most satisfactory and robust model that preserves both monthly and annual statistical parameters of the historical data sequences. This is true for both untransformed and transformed series. Therefore, it is recommended to use VLSH model for simulation of water resources in study area.
format Thesis
qualification_level Master's degree
author Mustapha, Azwan
author_facet Mustapha, Azwan
author_sort Mustapha, Azwan
title Stochastic streamflow analysis and simulation using disaggregation model
title_short Stochastic streamflow analysis and simulation using disaggregation model
title_full Stochastic streamflow analysis and simulation using disaggregation model
title_fullStr Stochastic streamflow analysis and simulation using disaggregation model
title_full_unstemmed Stochastic streamflow analysis and simulation using disaggregation model
title_sort stochastic streamflow analysis and simulation using disaggregation model
granting_institution Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Faculty of Civil Engineering
granting_department Faculty of Civil Engineering
publishDate 2012
url http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/32530/1/AzwanMustaphaMFKA2012.pdf
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