Streamflow modeling of a large arid catchment using semi-distributed hydrological model and modular neural network

Calibration and validation of hydrological models for simulating stream flow can usually be a promising procedure for future sustainable watershed development. Therefore, development of hydrological models with attributed capabilities is vital to explore the models. Recently, arid climate regions ar...

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Main Author: Jajarmizadeh, Milad
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: 2013
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Online Access:http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/39036/5/MiladJajarmizadehPFKA2013.pdf
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spelling my-utm-ep.390362017-06-21T07:34:29Z Streamflow modeling of a large arid catchment using semi-distributed hydrological model and modular neural network 2013-10 Jajarmizadeh, Milad TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) Calibration and validation of hydrological models for simulating stream flow can usually be a promising procedure for future sustainable watershed development. Therefore, development of hydrological models with attributed capabilities is vital to explore the models. Recently, arid climate regions are facing critical water resource problems due to elevated water scarcity. The main objective of this research is to compare the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), a knowledge driven by semi-distributed hydrological model, with the Modular Neural Network (MNN), a data driven technique, in predicting the daily flow in arid and large scale. Development of SWAT required digital elevation map, hydro-meteorological data, land use map, and soil maps; whilst, the MNN only needed hydro-meteorological data. For both models, a sensitivity analysis that included both calibration and validation with individual uncertainty evaluation methods was carried out. Generally, results for relative errors such as Nash-Sutcliffe, coefficient of determination and percent of bias favored the SWAT for the validation period. Not only that, the absolute error criteria such as root mean square error, mean square error and mean relative error obtained were close to zero for the SWAT as well within the same period. The mean absolute error for both models was similar during the validation period. Results of the uncertainty evaluation were in satisfactory range. Both models had given similar trend for flow prediction during the validation period. Results of box plot, according to 50% (median) of daily flow, showed that both models had respectively overestimated (MNN) and underestimated (SWAT) the daily flow during validation period. Evaluation on runoff volume for each year showed that both models had a one-year underestimation and three-year overestimation in the same period. However, the overestimation of MNN was more obvious. As a conclusion, this study showed that both models have promising prediction performance for daily flow in a large scale watershed with arid climate 2013-10 Thesis http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/39036/ http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/39036/5/MiladJajarmizadehPFKA2013.pdf application/pdf en public phd doctoral Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Faculty of Civil Engineering Faculty of Civil Engineering
institution Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
collection UTM Institutional Repository
language English
topic TA Engineering (General)
Civil engineering (General)
spellingShingle TA Engineering (General)
Civil engineering (General)
Jajarmizadeh, Milad
Streamflow modeling of a large arid catchment using semi-distributed hydrological model and modular neural network
description Calibration and validation of hydrological models for simulating stream flow can usually be a promising procedure for future sustainable watershed development. Therefore, development of hydrological models with attributed capabilities is vital to explore the models. Recently, arid climate regions are facing critical water resource problems due to elevated water scarcity. The main objective of this research is to compare the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), a knowledge driven by semi-distributed hydrological model, with the Modular Neural Network (MNN), a data driven technique, in predicting the daily flow in arid and large scale. Development of SWAT required digital elevation map, hydro-meteorological data, land use map, and soil maps; whilst, the MNN only needed hydro-meteorological data. For both models, a sensitivity analysis that included both calibration and validation with individual uncertainty evaluation methods was carried out. Generally, results for relative errors such as Nash-Sutcliffe, coefficient of determination and percent of bias favored the SWAT for the validation period. Not only that, the absolute error criteria such as root mean square error, mean square error and mean relative error obtained were close to zero for the SWAT as well within the same period. The mean absolute error for both models was similar during the validation period. Results of the uncertainty evaluation were in satisfactory range. Both models had given similar trend for flow prediction during the validation period. Results of box plot, according to 50% (median) of daily flow, showed that both models had respectively overestimated (MNN) and underestimated (SWAT) the daily flow during validation period. Evaluation on runoff volume for each year showed that both models had a one-year underestimation and three-year overestimation in the same period. However, the overestimation of MNN was more obvious. As a conclusion, this study showed that both models have promising prediction performance for daily flow in a large scale watershed with arid climate
format Thesis
qualification_name Doctor of Philosophy (PhD.)
qualification_level Doctorate
author Jajarmizadeh, Milad
author_facet Jajarmizadeh, Milad
author_sort Jajarmizadeh, Milad
title Streamflow modeling of a large arid catchment using semi-distributed hydrological model and modular neural network
title_short Streamflow modeling of a large arid catchment using semi-distributed hydrological model and modular neural network
title_full Streamflow modeling of a large arid catchment using semi-distributed hydrological model and modular neural network
title_fullStr Streamflow modeling of a large arid catchment using semi-distributed hydrological model and modular neural network
title_full_unstemmed Streamflow modeling of a large arid catchment using semi-distributed hydrological model and modular neural network
title_sort streamflow modeling of a large arid catchment using semi-distributed hydrological model and modular neural network
granting_institution Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Faculty of Civil Engineering
granting_department Faculty of Civil Engineering
publishDate 2013
url http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/39036/5/MiladJajarmizadehPFKA2013.pdf
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