Finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression

Stock market prediction is one of the fascinating issues of stock market research. Accurate stock prediction becomes the biggest challenge in investment industry because the distribution of stock data is changing over the time. Time series forcasting, Neural Network (NN) and Support Vector Machine (...

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Main Author: Chai, Chon Lung
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: 2006
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/3974/1/ChaiChonLungMFSKSM2006.pdf
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spelling my-utm-ep.39742018-01-11T04:46:34Z Finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression 2006-04 Chai, Chon Lung QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science Stock market prediction is one of the fascinating issues of stock market research. Accurate stock prediction becomes the biggest challenge in investment industry because the distribution of stock data is changing over the time. Time series forcasting, Neural Network (NN) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) are once commonly used for prediction on stock price. In this study, the data mining operation called time series forecasting is implemented. The large amount of stock data collected from Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange is used for the experiment to test the validity of SVMs regression. SVM is a new machine learning technique with principle of structural minimization risk, which have greater generalization ability and proved success in time series prediction. Two kernel functions namely Radial Basis Function and polynomial are compared for finding the accurate prediction values. Besides that, backpropagation neural network are also used to compare the predictions performance. Several experiments are conducted and some analyses on the experimental results are done. The results show that SVM with polynomial kernels provide a promising alternative tool in KLSE stock market prediction. 2006-04 Thesis http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/3974/ http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/3974/1/ChaiChonLungMFSKSM2006.pdf application/pdf en public masters Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Faculty of Computer Science and Information System Faculty of Computer Science and Information System
institution Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
collection UTM Institutional Repository
language English
topic QA75 Electronic computers
Computer science
spellingShingle QA75 Electronic computers
Computer science
Chai, Chon Lung
Finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression
description Stock market prediction is one of the fascinating issues of stock market research. Accurate stock prediction becomes the biggest challenge in investment industry because the distribution of stock data is changing over the time. Time series forcasting, Neural Network (NN) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) are once commonly used for prediction on stock price. In this study, the data mining operation called time series forecasting is implemented. The large amount of stock data collected from Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange is used for the experiment to test the validity of SVMs regression. SVM is a new machine learning technique with principle of structural minimization risk, which have greater generalization ability and proved success in time series prediction. Two kernel functions namely Radial Basis Function and polynomial are compared for finding the accurate prediction values. Besides that, backpropagation neural network are also used to compare the predictions performance. Several experiments are conducted and some analyses on the experimental results are done. The results show that SVM with polynomial kernels provide a promising alternative tool in KLSE stock market prediction.
format Thesis
qualification_level Master's degree
author Chai, Chon Lung
author_facet Chai, Chon Lung
author_sort Chai, Chon Lung
title Finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression
title_short Finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression
title_full Finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression
title_fullStr Finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression
title_full_unstemmed Finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression
title_sort finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression
granting_institution Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Faculty of Computer Science and Information System
granting_department Faculty of Computer Science and Information System
publishDate 2006
url http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/3974/1/ChaiChonLungMFSKSM2006.pdf
_version_ 1747814484897955840