Menganalisis Model Peramalan Terbaik Bagi Menentukan Efisiensi Pengangkutan di Kompleks Pemeriksaan Ikan LKIM Bukit Kayu Hitam, Kedah
Traffic congestion at checking complexes often happen at borders between two countries, especially during peak hours. The congestion at LKIM checking complex in Bukit Kayu Hitam normally occurs between 12.00 pm to 2.00 pm and 5.00 pm to 7.00 pm. A scientific research to forecast the smooth movement...
Saved in:
Main Author: | |
---|---|
Format: | Thesis |
Language: | eng eng |
Published: |
2004
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://etd.uum.edu.my/1308/1/MD._PUAT_ROMLI.pdf https://etd.uum.edu.my/1308/2/1.MD._PUAT_ROMLI.pdf |
Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
id |
my-uum-etd.1308 |
---|---|
record_format |
uketd_dc |
institution |
Universiti Utara Malaysia |
collection |
UUM ETD |
language |
eng eng |
topic |
HE Transportation and Communications |
spellingShingle |
HE Transportation and Communications Md. Puat, Romli Menganalisis Model Peramalan Terbaik Bagi Menentukan Efisiensi Pengangkutan di Kompleks Pemeriksaan Ikan LKIM Bukit Kayu Hitam, Kedah |
description |
Traffic congestion at checking complexes often happen at borders between two countries, especially during peak hours. The congestion at LKIM checking complex in Bukit Kayu
Hitam normally occurs between 12.00 pm to 2.00 pm and 5.00 pm to 7.00 pm. A scientific research to forecast the smooth movement of entry and exit of vehicles till year 2010 and the facilities available were carried out base on the secondary data which was obtained from LKIM and the Royal Custom Department at Bukit Kayu Hitam. The research was carried out by comparing several models in order to get the best method for forecasting. The models used were Moving Average, Weighted Moving Averages, Exponential Smoothing, Linear Regression, Multiplicative Decomposition and Additive
Decomposition Model. The research findings indicate that Regression model is the most suitable method for the purpose. Overall, it was found that the basic facilities and
workforce required at the LKIM complexes are sufficient till the year 2010. The research also shows that base on the data available the movement of vehicles is increasing from year to year. |
format |
Thesis |
qualification_name |
masters |
qualification_level |
Master's degree |
author |
Md. Puat, Romli |
author_facet |
Md. Puat, Romli |
author_sort |
Md. Puat, Romli |
title |
Menganalisis Model Peramalan Terbaik Bagi Menentukan Efisiensi Pengangkutan di Kompleks Pemeriksaan Ikan LKIM Bukit Kayu Hitam, Kedah |
title_short |
Menganalisis Model Peramalan Terbaik Bagi Menentukan Efisiensi Pengangkutan di Kompleks Pemeriksaan Ikan LKIM Bukit Kayu Hitam, Kedah |
title_full |
Menganalisis Model Peramalan Terbaik Bagi Menentukan Efisiensi Pengangkutan di Kompleks Pemeriksaan Ikan LKIM Bukit Kayu Hitam, Kedah |
title_fullStr |
Menganalisis Model Peramalan Terbaik Bagi Menentukan Efisiensi Pengangkutan di Kompleks Pemeriksaan Ikan LKIM Bukit Kayu Hitam, Kedah |
title_full_unstemmed |
Menganalisis Model Peramalan Terbaik Bagi Menentukan Efisiensi Pengangkutan di Kompleks Pemeriksaan Ikan LKIM Bukit Kayu Hitam, Kedah |
title_sort |
menganalisis model peramalan terbaik bagi menentukan efisiensi pengangkutan di kompleks pemeriksaan ikan lkim bukit kayu hitam, kedah |
granting_institution |
Universiti Utara Malaysia |
granting_department |
Sekolah Siswazah |
publishDate |
2004 |
url |
https://etd.uum.edu.my/1308/1/MD._PUAT_ROMLI.pdf https://etd.uum.edu.my/1308/2/1.MD._PUAT_ROMLI.pdf |
_version_ |
1747827118232829952 |
spelling |
my-uum-etd.13082013-07-24T12:11:23Z Menganalisis Model Peramalan Terbaik Bagi Menentukan Efisiensi Pengangkutan di Kompleks Pemeriksaan Ikan LKIM Bukit Kayu Hitam, Kedah 2004 Md. Puat, Romli Sekolah Siswazah Graduate School HE Transportation and Communications Traffic congestion at checking complexes often happen at borders between two countries, especially during peak hours. The congestion at LKIM checking complex in Bukit Kayu Hitam normally occurs between 12.00 pm to 2.00 pm and 5.00 pm to 7.00 pm. A scientific research to forecast the smooth movement of entry and exit of vehicles till year 2010 and the facilities available were carried out base on the secondary data which was obtained from LKIM and the Royal Custom Department at Bukit Kayu Hitam. The research was carried out by comparing several models in order to get the best method for forecasting. The models used were Moving Average, Weighted Moving Averages, Exponential Smoothing, Linear Regression, Multiplicative Decomposition and Additive Decomposition Model. The research findings indicate that Regression model is the most suitable method for the purpose. Overall, it was found that the basic facilities and workforce required at the LKIM complexes are sufficient till the year 2010. The research also shows that base on the data available the movement of vehicles is increasing from year to year. 2004 Thesis https://etd.uum.edu.my/1308/ https://etd.uum.edu.my/1308/1/MD._PUAT_ROMLI.pdf application/pdf eng validuser https://etd.uum.edu.my/1308/2/1.MD._PUAT_ROMLI.pdf application/pdf eng public masters masters Universiti Utara Malaysia Ahmad Faudzi (2000). Peramalan Kemasukan Banduan ke Penjara Alor Setar. Tesis (M.A),Universiti Utara Malaysia. Armstrong, S.J & Brodie, R. J (1999). Forecasting For Marketing. International Thompson Business Press: London Armstrong, S.J (2001). Standards and Practices For Forecasting. Academic Kluwer Publisher: Norwell, MA: Averill M. L (1986) di dalam Affifah Mansor (1994). Kajian Sistem Kawalan Pengeluaran Bahagian Pembuatan (Stamping)Di Perusahaan Otomobil National (Proton). Tesis Diploma Lanjutan Statistik. UiTM : Shah Alam Bowerman, B. L., dan O'connell, R. T., (1987). Times Series Forecusting: Unified Concepts and Computer Implementation. Second Edition. PWS-Kent Publishing: USA Schiess, C., ( 1993), Simulation : How To Set Goals and How To Get Started, Industrial Engineering, p, 26-27. Cristy & Watson (1993), di dalam Affifah Mansor (1994). Kajian Sistem Kawalan Pengeluaran Bahagian Pembuatan (Stamping) Di Perusahaan Otomobil National (Proton). Tesis Diploma Lanjutan Statistik. UiTM : Shah Alam Farizah Mohd Bakhid (2000). Menentukan Model Telahan Bagi Pengeluaran Minyak Kelapa Sawit Mentah. Tesis (MA), Universiti Teknologi Mara Shah Alam. Flaumer. P., (1992). Forecasting us Population Total With Box-Jenkins Approach. International Journal of Forecasting Vol 8, 329-338, Francis. X. D., (2001) Element of Forecasting Second Edition, Publisher Thompson Learning: USA Hanke, J. E., dan Reitsch. A. G., (1989). Business Forecasting. Third Edition. Allyn and Bacon: USA Isaachsen, M, (1999). International Logistics Conference In Sydney. http://www.balancerroach.com/subs/canfl999/paper.htm Swedish, J., (1993). Simulation Bring Productivity Enhancements To The Social Security Administration, Industrial Engineering, p. 28-30 Lancaster, R F (2002). International Symposium on Forecasting, Ireland Laporan Tahunan. Lembaga Kemajuan Ikan Malaysia (LKIM), 2000, Kuala Lumpur Law A M. (1986). Introduction To Simulation: A Poweful Tool For Analyzing Complex Manufacturing System. Industrial Engineering, Vol 18(5),p 46-63 Liew, S. L. P., Manogran dan Mahmud, A., (1998). Operations Research Application in The Malaysia Public Sector. Annual Review of of Research and Management Science, Vol 1, P1-13 Mahmud Kadar, Abdul Rahman, dan Yusof Osman (2002). Peramalan Jumlah Pendaratan Ikan dan Harga Termasuk Perkaitan Di antaranya. Kertas Kerja DSP , INTAN.Kuala Lumpur Makridakis, S.(1978). Forecasting: Methods and Application. Hamilton Publication,UK Malek Hashim (2002). Peramalan Sumber Tenaga Kerja Di Unit Penyelenggaraan Bangunan Kerajaan JKR, Cawangan Kejuruteraan Makanikal Johor. Tesis (M.A), Universiti Utara Malaysia. Mohd Yusof Nair Et.al, (1997), An Economic Appraisal Of Mangrove Swamps, An Unpublished MMsc. Thesis, Universiti Pertanian Malaysia, Serdang Selangor. Mohd. Alias Lazim (200 l), Introductory Business Forecasting-A Practical Approach, Univision Press Sdn. Bhd: Kuala Lumpur Mosely, A. S , Tyner, T, Uzsoy, R. M., (1998). Maintenance Scheduling and Staffing Policies In a Wafer Fabrication Facility, EEE: Transactions on Wafer Manufacturing, 11,316-323. Nihan dan Halmosland (1980). http://agrolin,moa.my/oral/moal Shaharuddin (2000). Sistem Penggiliran Bagi Proses Pendaftaran. Tesis (M.A),Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia. Suraya Mohd Yusof (1995). Penganalisaan Ketidakstabilan Harga Ikan, Tiga Spesis Ikan dengan Menggunakan Kaedah Siri Masa. Tesis Diploma Lanjutan Statistik UiTM. Suhaiza Hanim, Mohamad Zailani, Hanizan Zalazilah dan Suhaimi Ahmad Mohtar, (2001), Prinsip Urusan Operasi. Prentice Hall Kuala Lumpur. Swedish, R.E, 91993), Simulation: The Art And Science, : Prentice-Hall Inc: New Jersey Taylor, B. W , (2002), Introduction To Management Science. Seventh Edition. Prentice-Hall Inc: New Jersey |