Pest Activity Prognosis in Rice Fields Using Fuzzy Expert System Approach

Fuzzy Logic (FL) is a form of knowledge representation which is appropriate for notions that cannot be define precisely, but depends upon its context. An Expert System (ES) is a computer program that uses human knowledge to solve problems in typical tasks, which normally requires human intelligence....

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Nureize, Arbaiy
Format: Thesis
Language:eng
eng
Published: 2004
Subjects:
Online Access:https://etd.uum.edu.my/1398/1/NUREIZE_ARBAIY.pdf
https://etd.uum.edu.my/1398/2/1.NUREIZE_ARBAIY.pdf
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
id my-uum-etd.1398
record_format uketd_dc
institution Universiti Utara Malaysia
collection UUM ETD
language eng
eng
topic QA76.76 Fuzzy System.
spellingShingle QA76.76 Fuzzy System.
Nureize, Arbaiy
Pest Activity Prognosis in Rice Fields Using Fuzzy Expert System Approach
description Fuzzy Logic (FL) is a form of knowledge representation which is appropriate for notions that cannot be define precisely, but depends upon its context. An Expert System (ES) is a computer program that uses human knowledge to solve problems in typical tasks, which normally requires human intelligence. As knowledge involved in pest management is imperfect, vague and not completely reliable, fuzzy logic is integrated in this expert system to deal with the approximate reasoning. Expert system and fuzzy logic have their own significant capabilities the combination of both technologies that forms a fuzzy-expert system or a hybrid system could increase the systems performance (Herrmann, 1996). Due to the capability of fuzzy logic and expert system, pest activity prognosis in rice field using fuzzy expert approach developed to provide information to the farmers and researchers through the internet. Since rice is the main staple food of the Malaysian and Kedah is known as 'rice bowl' Malaysia, therefore this study focuses on the pest's activity in the rice fields. In MyPEST, the type of pest that causes damage to the rice plant is determined by the expert system. On the other hand, Fuzzy Logic approach is used to forecast the pest activity level. This is important so that early treatment or action can be applied before damage to the plant becomes worst. The system helps the user by managing the consultation which is performed by the expert system and fuzzy logic to make prediction and dealing with the natural and uncertainly data using linguistic variables. This web based application system also helps the farmers as well as agriculture institution representatives to manage farm successfully and to using more than one attributes involved, the less rigid 3 dimensional decision graph was produced. The identification for the type of pest is also involved in the first phase of this system which followed by the activity forecasting based on the identified pest. The system has been verified by MARDI entomologist and the system is confirmed to benefit the researchers at MARDI, MADA and DOA particularly, and the farmers at large.
format Thesis
qualification_name masters
qualification_level Master's degree
author Nureize, Arbaiy
author_facet Nureize, Arbaiy
author_sort Nureize, Arbaiy
title Pest Activity Prognosis in Rice Fields Using Fuzzy Expert System Approach
title_short Pest Activity Prognosis in Rice Fields Using Fuzzy Expert System Approach
title_full Pest Activity Prognosis in Rice Fields Using Fuzzy Expert System Approach
title_fullStr Pest Activity Prognosis in Rice Fields Using Fuzzy Expert System Approach
title_full_unstemmed Pest Activity Prognosis in Rice Fields Using Fuzzy Expert System Approach
title_sort pest activity prognosis in rice fields using fuzzy expert system approach
granting_institution Universiti Utara Malaysia
granting_department Sekolah Siswazah
publishDate 2004
url https://etd.uum.edu.my/1398/1/NUREIZE_ARBAIY.pdf
https://etd.uum.edu.my/1398/2/1.NUREIZE_ARBAIY.pdf
_version_ 1747827138594078720
spelling my-uum-etd.13982013-07-24T12:11:47Z Pest Activity Prognosis in Rice Fields Using Fuzzy Expert System Approach 2004 Nureize, Arbaiy Sekolah Siswazah Sekolah Siswazah QA76.76 Fuzzy System. Fuzzy Logic (FL) is a form of knowledge representation which is appropriate for notions that cannot be define precisely, but depends upon its context. An Expert System (ES) is a computer program that uses human knowledge to solve problems in typical tasks, which normally requires human intelligence. As knowledge involved in pest management is imperfect, vague and not completely reliable, fuzzy logic is integrated in this expert system to deal with the approximate reasoning. Expert system and fuzzy logic have their own significant capabilities the combination of both technologies that forms a fuzzy-expert system or a hybrid system could increase the systems performance (Herrmann, 1996). Due to the capability of fuzzy logic and expert system, pest activity prognosis in rice field using fuzzy expert approach developed to provide information to the farmers and researchers through the internet. Since rice is the main staple food of the Malaysian and Kedah is known as 'rice bowl' Malaysia, therefore this study focuses on the pest's activity in the rice fields. In MyPEST, the type of pest that causes damage to the rice plant is determined by the expert system. On the other hand, Fuzzy Logic approach is used to forecast the pest activity level. This is important so that early treatment or action can be applied before damage to the plant becomes worst. The system helps the user by managing the consultation which is performed by the expert system and fuzzy logic to make prediction and dealing with the natural and uncertainly data using linguistic variables. This web based application system also helps the farmers as well as agriculture institution representatives to manage farm successfully and to using more than one attributes involved, the less rigid 3 dimensional decision graph was produced. The identification for the type of pest is also involved in the first phase of this system which followed by the activity forecasting based on the identified pest. The system has been verified by MARDI entomologist and the system is confirmed to benefit the researchers at MARDI, MADA and DOA particularly, and the farmers at large. 2004 Thesis https://etd.uum.edu.my/1398/ https://etd.uum.edu.my/1398/1/NUREIZE_ARBAIY.pdf application/pdf eng validuser https://etd.uum.edu.my/1398/2/1.NUREIZE_ARBAIY.pdf application/pdf eng public masters masters Universiti Utara Malaysia ASP, ADO and XML Complete, Sybex Inc 2001 Abraham, A., and Nath, B. (2001). Hybrid Intelligent Systems Design - A Review of a Decade of Research Adlassnig, K.P and Kolarz, G. (1982). CADIAC-2: Computer-assisted medical diagnosis using fuzzy subsets. In MM Gupta and E Sanchez, editors, Approximate Reasoning in Decision Analysis, pages 219-247. North-Holland, New York. Adlassnig, K .P. (1986). Fuzzy set theory in medical diagnosis. IEEE Transactions Systems Man Cybernetics, 16(2):260-265. Altrock, C.V. (1995). Fuzzy Logic and Neuro Fuzzy Applications Explained, Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ. Atwal, AS. and Dhaliwal, G.S. (1997). Agricultural pests of south Asia and their management. Kalyani Publisher. Bajwa, W., Buskirk, P.V., Hilton, R., and Castaploli, S. (2003). An Internet-based Pest Alert and Management System for Oregon, Corvallis.http://oreonim.ippc.orst.edu Date Accessed: June 10,2004 Botzheim, J., Hamori, B. and Kkzy, L.T. (1999). Applying bacterial algorithm to trapezoidal membership fictions in a rule base, Budapest University of Technology and Economics, Hungary. Deraman, A.B. and Shamsul Bahar, A.K. (2000). Bringing the Farming Community Into the Internet Age: A Case Study. Informing Science, 3(4). Baharudin, S. A (2000). Preservation of Culture in an Internet worked World. R. A. Rahim & K. J. John (Eds), Access, Empowerment and Governance in the information Age. Building Knowledge Societies Series, Volume I: NITC (Malaysia) Publ., 68-75. Beck, KW., Jones, P. and Jones, J.W. (1989). SOYBUG: an expert system for soybean insect pest management, Agriculture systems, 3l(1). Batchelor, W.D. McClendon, R.W. Adams, D.B. and Jones, J.W. (1989). Evolution of SMARTSOY: an expert system for insect pest management, Agriculture systems,3l(1). Bellman, R. E. and Zadeh, L. A. (1970). Decision-making in a fuzzy environment, Management Science, vol. 17, pp. 141-164. Carrascal, M.J., Pau, L.F. and Reinet, L. (1995). Knowledge and information transfer in agriculture using hypermedia: a system review, Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, 12:83-119. Cohen, M.E. and Hudson, D.L. (1988). The use of fuzzy variables in medical decision making. In M.M. Gupta and T. Yamakawa, editors, Fuzzy Computing, pages 263-271. Elsevier Science, North Holland Cordon, O., Herera, F., and Peregrin, A. (1999). Looking for the best Desertification method features for each implication operator, to design accurate fuzzy model Department of Computer Science and Artificial Intelligent Spain. Coulson, J., Carr, C.T., Hutchinson, L., and Eagle, Dorothy. (1990). English Illustrated Dictionary, Oxford University, UK. D'Souza, S. and Altrock, V.C. (1995). Fuzzy Logic in Appliances, Embedded Systems Conference, Santa Clara, CA. Di (2000). "Dis Agricultural Links web page". http://www.ozemail.com.au/~dkgsoft/agr.html Date Accesed: 24 April 2000. Dean T., Allen J. and Aloimonos J. (1995). Artificial intelligence: theory and practice. Benjamin/Cummings Publishing Company, Redwood City (CA), USA. Durkin, J. (1996). Expert Systems: A View of the Field, IEEE Expert 56-63 Durkin, J. (1994). Expert Systems, Design and Development, Prentice Hall. Feldman, D.S. (1993). Fuzzy Network Synthesis with Genetic Algorithms. In Forrest S.(Ed.), Procs. of the Fifth International Conference on Genetic Algorithms, Morgan Kaufmann Pub., San Mateo C k pp 312-317. Feigenbaum, E.A. (1997) The art of artificial intelligence 1: Themes and case studies of knowledge engineering. Pub. No. STAN-SC-77-621. Stanford University, Department of Computer Science. Garibaldi, J.M.. and Ifeachor, E.C. (1999). Application. of simulated Annealing Fuzzy Model Tuning to Umbilical Cord Acid-base Interpretation, IEEE Transactions on Fwzy Systems, Vo1.7, No.1 . Garibaldi, J.M. (1997). Intelligent techniques for handling uncertainty in the assessment of neonatal outcome, PhD Thesis, university of Plymouth, UK. Giarratano, J., and Riley, G. (1998). Expert Systems Principles and Programming, 3rd Edition, PWS Publishing Co. Grimson, J., Stephens, G., Jung, B., Grimson, W., Berry, D. and Pardon, S. (2001). Sharing health care records over the Internet, IEEE Internet Computing, May-June: 49-57. Hadjimichael, M., Kuciauskas, A. P., Brody, L. R., Bankert, R. L., and Tag, P. M.,(1996). MEDEX: A fuzzy system for forecasting Mediterranean gale force winds, Proceedings of FUZZ-IEEE 1996 IEEE Intonational Conference on Fuzzy Systems, pp 529-534. Hansen, B. K., (1997). SIGMAR: A fuzzy expert system for critiquing marine forecasts, AI Applications, Vol.11, No. 1,59-68. Hansen, B. K. (2000). Analog forecasting of ceiling and visibility using fizzy sets, 2nd Conference on Artificial Intelligence, American Meteorological Society, 1-7. Hasiloglu, AS., Yawz, U., Rezos, S. and Kaya, M.D. (2003). A Fuzzy Expert System for Product Life Cycle Management, International XII, Turkish Symposium on Artificial Intelligence and Neural Networks. Herrmann, C. S. (1996). A hybrid fuzzy-neural expert system for diagnosis, in Proc. of the Fourteenth International Joint Conf: on Artificial Intelligence, Vol.I, pp.494-502. Herrmann, C.S. (1995). Fuzzy Logic as Interfacing Technique in Hybrid AI-Systems,Germany Herrmann, C.S. (1995). A Hybrid Fuzzy-Neural Expert System for Diagnosis, In proceedings of the International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI), Montreal, Kanada. Morgan Kaufman. Hsu, Y. Y. and K. L. Ho. (1992). Fuzzy expert systems: an application to short-term load forecasting, IEE Proc. on Generation, Transmission and Distribution Vol. 139,6, pp.471-477. Jackson, P. (1990). Introduction to Expert Systems (2nd edn). Addison- Wesley, Reading, MA. Jusoh, M., Heong, K.L., Nik Mohd Nor, Chang., P.M. and Lim G. S. (1980).Integrated Pest control: Nationale, needs and case study for paddy in Malaysia. MARDI Senior Staff Conference, Serdang. pp 22. Karim, W. J. (2000), Ethics for Global Civil Society: Non-Westerner Perspectives. R.A. Rahim & K. J. John (Eds), Access, Empowerment and Governance in the Information Age. Building Knowledge Societies Series, Volume I: NITC (Malaysia) Publ., pp.53-66. Kasabov, N. (1996). Foundations of Neural Networks, Fuzzy Systems, and Knowledge Engineering. Boston: Kluwer Academic. Klir, J. and Yuan, B. (1995). Fuzzy Sets and Fuzzy Logic: Theory and Applications, Prentice Hall. Kosko, B. (1992). Neural Networks and Fuzzy Systems: A Dynamical Systems Approach to Machine Intelligence. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall Inc. Kosko, B. (1997). Fuzzy engineering, Prentice Hall, New Jersey, USA Kuciauskas, A. P., Brody, L. R., Hadjimichael, M, .Bankerf R. L., and Tag, P. M. (1998). MEDEX: Applying fuzzy logic to a meteorological expert system, Preprints of the 1st Conference on Artificial Intelligence, American Meteorological Society, 68-74. Lee, MA, and Takagi, H. (1993). Dynamic Control of Genetic Algorithms using Fuzzy Logic Techniques. In Forrest S. (Ed.), Procs. of the Fifth InternationalConference on Genetic Algorithms, Morgan Kaufmann Publ., San Mateo CA Pages 76-83. Lim, G. S. (1970). Some aspects of the conservation of natural enemies of rice stemborers and the feasibility of harmonizing chemical and biological control of these pests in Malaysia. MUSH1 43: 125-135. Loncaric, C., Kovacevic, D. and Cosic, D. (1998). Fuzzy Expert System for Edema Segmentation, University of Zagred, Croatia. Low, V. (2000), Education System For Knowledge Societies: Issues Assumptions For Reform. R. A. Rahim & K. J. John (Eds), Access, Empowerment and Governance in the Information Age. Building Knowledge Societies Series, Volume I: NITC (Malaysia) Publ.,86. Luo, X., Zhang, C., and Jennings N.R. (2002). A Hybrid Model for Sharing Information Between Fuzzy, Uncertain and Default Reasoning Models in Multi-Agent Systems, International Journal of Uncertain@, Fuzziness and Knowledge-Based Systems, Vol.0, No.0. Maner, W., and Joyce, S. (1997). WXSYS: Weather Lore + Fuzzy Logic = Weather Forecasts, presented at 1997 CLIPS Virtual Conference, http://web.cs.bgsu.edu/maner/wxsys/wxsys.htm. Feb. 27, 1999. Mann, C.K. and Ruth, S .R. (1992). Expert System in Developing Countries Practice and promise. Mamdani, E.H., J.J. Ostergaard, and E. Lembessis. (1983). Use of Fuzzy Logic for Implementing Rule-Based Control of an Industrial Process, in Wang, P.P. (ed.),Advances in Fuzzy Sets, Possibility Theory, and Applications, Plenum Press, pp.307-312. Mendel, J. (1995). Fuzzy Logic Systems for Engineering: A Tutorial, In, Proc. of the IEEE, 83(3). Moraes, R.M. (1996). Image classification using Mathematical Morphology. Proceedings of SIBGRAPI, 9, Caxamby Br, p.357-358. Munakata, T. and Jani, Y. (1994). Fuzzy Systems: An Overview, Communications of the ACM, Vol.37, No.3, pp.69-76. Murtba, J., (1995). Applications of fuzzy logic in operational meteorology, Scientific Services and Professional Development Newsletter, Canadian Forces Weather Service, 42-54. NAP3, (1999), The Ministry of Agriculture Malaysia. Third National Agricultural Policy (1998-2010). Ministry of Agriculture Malaysia: Kuala Lumpur. 1999. Pas& G.M. and Mansfield, J. (1998). Development of a prototype expert system for identification and control of insect pests, Computer and Electronics in Agriculture, 2:263-276. Romahi, Y. and Q, Shen. (2000). Dynamic Financial Forecasting with Automatically Induced Fuzzy Associations, IEEE 403-408 Rao, B. S. (1969). Cockchafers attacking rubber in West Malaysia and their integrated control. FA0 Plant Prot. Bul. 17:52-55. Rao, JP. Expert System and Agriculture http://www.mamee.gov. in Date Accessed: 30th August 2003. Reynolds, Keith M. (2001). Fuzzy logic knowledge bases in integrated landscape assessment: examples and possibilities. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-521. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Senice, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 24 p. Rice-Crop. (1991). Indian Expert System, Mc Graw Hill Rice supply and demand scenarios for Malaysia Manage Cyberary. Royes, G. F. and Bastos, R. C. (2001). Fuzzy MCDM in Election Prediction. In Proceedings of the 2001 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man & Cybernetics, 3258-3263. Tucson, Arizona. Saini, H.S., Kamal, Raj and Sharma, A.N. (2000). Web Based Fuzzy Expert System for Integrated Pest Management in Soybean, International Journal of Information Technology, Vo1.8, No.1. Saini, H.S., Kamal, Raj and Sharma, A.N. (1997). Graphical User Interface for a Expert System SOYPEST, Vivek: A Quarterly in Artificial Intelligence, 10,4: 2-10 Saini, H.S., Kamal, Raj and Shaman, AN. (1998). SOYPEST: An Expert System for Insect Pest Management in Soybean Crop. CSI Communications, April 98: 21-24. Sadegh and Zadeh, K. (1994). Fundamentals of clinical methodology: Differential indication. Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, 6: 83-102. Sanchez, E. (1979). Medical diagnosis and composite fuzzy relations. Advances in fuzzy set theory and applications. Saritas, I., Allahved, N., and Sert, LU. (2003). A Expert System Design for Diagnosis of Prostate Cancer, International Conference on Computer Systems and Technologies - CompSysTech. Shariffaden, M. A (2000). The Changing World: ICT and Governance. R. A. Rahim & K. J. John (Eds), Access, Empowerment and Government in the Information Age. Building Knowledge Societies Series, Volume I: NITC (Malaysia) Publ., 1-12. Singh, O.P. and Sin&, K.J. (1990). Insect Pests of Soybean and their Management, Indian Farming, Jan. 1990:pp.9-38. SOPA. (1998). Integrated Pest Management Package for Soybean. Report of Workshop on Plant Protection, April 15-17 Sugianto, L.F. and Ly X.B. (1999). Demand forecasting in the deregulated market: A bibliography survey, Australia Sujitjom, S., Sookjaras, P., Wainikorn, W., (1994). An expert system to forecast visibility in Don-Muang Air Force Base, 1994 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics (Humans, Information and Technology)(2-5)Oct. 1994), IEEE, NY, NY, US4 2528-2531. Tsoukalas, L.H. and Uhrig, R.E. (1997). Fuzzy and Neural Approaches in Engineering, John Wiley. Turban, E. and Aronson, J.E. (2001). Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, 6& Edition, Prentice Hall. Wang, L. and Mendel, J.M. (1992). Generating Fuzzy Rules by Learning From Examples, IEEE Trans. Systems, Man & Cybernetics, Vol. 22, pp. 1414-1427. Warren, P.L. (1999). Virginia Integrated Pest Management Expert for Wheat, Blacksburg, Virginia Watanabe, H., Yakowenko, W. J., Kim, Y .M, Anbe, J and Tobi, T. (1994). Application of a fuzzy discrimination analysis for diagnosis of valvular heart disease. IEEE Transactions Fuzzy Systems, 2(4) p267-276. Watson, I. (1998) CBR is a methodology not a technology. In, Research & Development in Expert Systems XV. Miles, R., Moulton, M. & Bramer, M. (Eds.), pp. 213-223.Springer, London. ISBN 1-85233-086-4 Wood, B. J. (1971). Development of integrated control programs for pests of tropical perennial crops in Malaysia. In Biological Control C.B. Huffaker, Eds.,Plemum Press, New Yolk, pp. 423-457. Yager R.R. (1992). Expert systems using film logic. In RR. Yager and L. A. Zadeh eds ., An introduction to fuzzy logic applications in intelligent systems, Kluwer Academic Publishers. Yeoh, N. S (2000). Pesticide Residues in Food Maximum Residue Limits (MRLs) and Food Safety. A paper presented at Seminar on insecticides, Health, You and The Law, 4th March 2000, Ipoh. Zadeh, L.A. (1998). Roles of Soft Computing and Fuzzy Logic in the Conception, Design and Deployment of Information/ Intelligent Systems, Computational Intelligence: Soft Computing and Fuzzy Neuron Integration with Applications,0 Kaynak, LA Zadeh, B Turksen, IJ RUDAS, Eds. Zadeh, L.A. (1993). The role of fuzzy logic and soft computing in the conception and design of intelligent systems. Zadeh, L.A. (1983). The role of fuzzv logic in management of uncertainty in expert systems , Fury Sets Systems, Vol II, 199-227 Zadeh, L. A. (1966). Fuzzy logic=Computing with words, IEEE transactions of fuzzy systems, 4,2,. Zadeh, L. A. (1965). Fuzzy Sets in Information and Control, vol. 8. New York: Academic Press, pp. 338-353. Zimrnerman, H. J. (1991). Fuzzy set theory and its applications (2nd edition), Kluwer Academic Publishers.