The Casual Relationship Between Macroeconomic Variables and Economic Growth: Evidence from Algeria Economy

Theoretically, less developed countries that are short of domestic resources can further their economic expansion by utilizing foreign capital under conditions of perfect capital mobility, these inflows would also help equalize rate of return on capital across countries and narrow the development ga...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Kacemi, Tarek
Format: Thesis
Language:eng
eng
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:https://etd.uum.edu.my/3549/1/s809027.pdf
https://etd.uum.edu.my/3549/7/s809027.pdf
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
id my-uum-etd.3549
record_format uketd_dc
institution Universiti Utara Malaysia
collection UUM ETD
language eng
eng
advisor Lim, Hock Eam
topic HC Economic History and Conditions
spellingShingle HC Economic History and Conditions
Kacemi, Tarek
The Casual Relationship Between Macroeconomic Variables and Economic Growth: Evidence from Algeria Economy
description Theoretically, less developed countries that are short of domestic resources can further their economic expansion by utilizing foreign capital under conditions of perfect capital mobility, these inflows would also help equalize rate of return on capital across countries and narrow the development gap (Gupta & Islam, 1983). in the context of Algeria, is this inflow helps the domestic resources further expansion at economic growth.This paper focuses on the study by using time-series data over the period of 1970-2009 in Algeria. In this study, I used economic growth as dependent variables and export, import, FDI domestic investment were independent variable. This study analyzed the relationship between these variables using unit root test, Vector Autoregressive (VAR) and Impulse Response Function (IRF). The evidence indicates that export has positive influences on economic growth. The VAR and Impulse Response Function (IRF) show that the increases in export will have significant effect on economic growth and there are no strong relationships between FDI, import, Domestic investment and economic growth. The economic growth is influenced by its own past value. In the presence of studies, change in FDI has no positive effect on growth, so the proper monitoring of the foreign funded projects in order to avoid the misutilization of the foreign capital resources is needed. For maintaining and increasing economic growth rate, Algeria need to stabilize the macroeconomic environment, improve human capital, facilitate financial development and gradually liberalize financial sector.
format Thesis
qualification_name masters
qualification_level Master's degree
author Kacemi, Tarek
author_facet Kacemi, Tarek
author_sort Kacemi, Tarek
title The Casual Relationship Between Macroeconomic Variables and Economic Growth: Evidence from Algeria Economy
title_short The Casual Relationship Between Macroeconomic Variables and Economic Growth: Evidence from Algeria Economy
title_full The Casual Relationship Between Macroeconomic Variables and Economic Growth: Evidence from Algeria Economy
title_fullStr The Casual Relationship Between Macroeconomic Variables and Economic Growth: Evidence from Algeria Economy
title_full_unstemmed The Casual Relationship Between Macroeconomic Variables and Economic Growth: Evidence from Algeria Economy
title_sort casual relationship between macroeconomic variables and economic growth: evidence from algeria economy
granting_institution Universiti Utara Malaysia
granting_department Othman Yeop Abdullah Graduate School of Business
publishDate 2012
url https://etd.uum.edu.my/3549/1/s809027.pdf
https://etd.uum.edu.my/3549/7/s809027.pdf
_version_ 1747827599258681344
spelling my-uum-etd.35492016-04-19T07:54:27Z The Casual Relationship Between Macroeconomic Variables and Economic Growth: Evidence from Algeria Economy 2012-12 Kacemi, Tarek Lim, Hock Eam Othman Yeop Abdullah Graduate School of Business Othman Yeop Abdullah Graduate School of Business HC Economic History and Conditions Theoretically, less developed countries that are short of domestic resources can further their economic expansion by utilizing foreign capital under conditions of perfect capital mobility, these inflows would also help equalize rate of return on capital across countries and narrow the development gap (Gupta & Islam, 1983). in the context of Algeria, is this inflow helps the domestic resources further expansion at economic growth.This paper focuses on the study by using time-series data over the period of 1970-2009 in Algeria. In this study, I used economic growth as dependent variables and export, import, FDI domestic investment were independent variable. This study analyzed the relationship between these variables using unit root test, Vector Autoregressive (VAR) and Impulse Response Function (IRF). The evidence indicates that export has positive influences on economic growth. The VAR and Impulse Response Function (IRF) show that the increases in export will have significant effect on economic growth and there are no strong relationships between FDI, import, Domestic investment and economic growth. The economic growth is influenced by its own past value. In the presence of studies, change in FDI has no positive effect on growth, so the proper monitoring of the foreign funded projects in order to avoid the misutilization of the foreign capital resources is needed. For maintaining and increasing economic growth rate, Algeria need to stabilize the macroeconomic environment, improve human capital, facilitate financial development and gradually liberalize financial sector. 2012-12 Thesis https://etd.uum.edu.my/3549/ https://etd.uum.edu.my/3549/1/s809027.pdf text eng validuser https://etd.uum.edu.my/3549/7/s809027.pdf text eng public masters masters Universiti Utara Malaysia AbdulhamidSukar, Cameron University Syed Ahmed, Cameron UniversitSeid Hassan, Murray State University (2005) THE EFFECTS OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTON ECONOMIC GROWTH: THE CASE OF SUBSAHARA AFRICA. Abdullahi D. Ahmed, Enjiang Cheng and George Messinis (2002) The Role of Exports, FDI and Imports in Development: New Evidence from Sub-Saharan African Countries CSES WORKING PAPER No. 39 Centre for Strategic Economic Studies, Victoria University Agrawal, P. (2005). Foreign Direct Investment in South Asia: Impact on Economic Growth and Local Investment. In: E.M. Graham (ed.), Multinationals and Foreign Investment in Economic Development. Basingstoke (Palgrave Macmillan): 94- 118. Ali M. Kutan and GoranVukšic (2008). Foreign Direct Investment and Export Performance: Empirical Evidence. Pp 1-16. Developed Countries", The Journal of Political Economy 81 (1): 121-130. Dickey, D.A. and W.A. Fuller (1979).Distribution of the Estimator forAutoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 74, 427-431. Dickey, D.A. andW. A. Fuller (1981). Likelihood Ratio Statistics for AutoregresssiveTime Series with a Unit Root. Econometrica 49, 1057-1072. Domar, Evsey. "Capital Expansion, Rate of Growth, and Employment", Econometrica, Vol. 14, (April 1946), pp. 137- 47. Economics, 22(1), 3-32. Economy, 94(5), 1003-1037. Engle, Robert F. and C.W.J. Granger, 1987, Cointegration and error correction: Representation,estimation and testing, Econometrica 55, 251-276. Fantessi Amavi Agbelenko, Kiprop Symon Kibet* and Desmond Abdul Kall Conteh (2011), Impact of Chinese foreign direct investment in Africa on Sino-Africa bilateral (63), 334-361. Fayissa, B., Mohammed. I.,& El-Kaissy. (1999). Studies in Comparative International Development, Publication Date: 09/22. Gujarati, Damodar N.: Essentials of Econometrics, 2d ed., McGraw-Hill, Gupta, K.L. and M.A. Islam (1983),Foreign Capital, Savings and Growth—An International CrossSection Study, Reidel Publishing Company: Dordrecht. Impact and Potential" African Economic Research Consortium PO Box 62882–City SquareNairobi 00200, Kenya. INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT. WORLD BANK Jacob A. Frenkel & Assaf Razin, 1986."The International Transmission and Effects of Fiscal Policies," NBER Working Papers 1799, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Jaime Martínez-Martín (October 2010) On the Dynamics of Exports and FDI: The Spanish Internationalization Process (jaime.martinezmartin@ub.edu) (Faculty of Economics, University of Barcelona) Johansen, S., 1988, "Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamicsand Control, Vol. 12, No. 2–3, pp. 231–254. Kanta Marwah& Lawrence Klein, (1995)."The Possibility of Expanding Asia-Pacific Economic Integration," Carleton Economic Papers 95-03, Carleton University, Department of Economics. Kevin Honglin Zhang (2005) How Does FDI Affect a Host Country‘s Export Performance?The Case of ChinaDepartment of Economics, Illinois State University, Normal, IL 61790-4200, Kishor Sharma (July2000) Charles Sturt University Australia EXPORT GROWTH IN INDIA: HAS FDI PLAYED A ROLE? CENTER DISCUSSION PAPER NO.816 http://www.econ.yale.edu/~egcenter Library of Congress–Federal Research Division. Country Profile: Algeria, May 2008. Lucas, R.E. (1988).On the Mechanics of Economic Development . Journal of Monetary Martínez-Martín, J. (2009). General Equilibrium Long-Run Determinants for Spanish FDI: A Spatial Panel Data Approach . IREA Working Paper Series 200917. Michael Klein, Carl Aaron and Bita Hadjimichael (March 26, 2001) FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND POVERTY REDUCTION, OECD GLOBAL FORUM ONINTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT. WORLD BANK. Michael Klein, Carl Aaron and Bita Hadjimichael (March 26, 2001) FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND POVERTY REDUCTION, OECD GLOBAL FORUM ON Mousou, H. (2007). Essai de comparaison de l‘attractivité des IDE dans le développement du secteur privé cas des pays du Maghreb (Algérie, Tunisie et Maroc). University ofBedjaya, Algeria. Nafir Z., Mebarky H., &Tarfaya A. (2009).Thesis of graduate degree محدداتالادخاروالاستثماردراسةتطبيقية. University of Bachar .Algeria New York, 1999. Nguyen ThanhXuan andYuqing Xing (2008) Foreign direct investment and exports Journal compilation © 2008 The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development. Nguyen ThanhXuan ,Yuqing Xing (12 MAR 2008) Foreign direct investment and exports The experiences of Vietnam DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0351.2008.00321 OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) (2002), Foreign Direct Investment for Development: maximizing benefits, minimizing costs, Paris, OECD of Economics, 70(1), 65-94. Papanek, G. (1973), "Aid, Foreign Private Investment, savings and Growth in Less Papanek, Gustav (1973). Aid, foreign Private Investment, Savings, and Growth in Less Developed Countries, The Journal of Political Economy, 81, pp. 121-130. Rafiknazary and Lawil Bilal (2008) FDI and export-led growth in Jordan: evidence from cointegration and causality test, Al-Hussein Bin Talal University, Ma‘an, Jordán. Rafik, N. (2008). الاستثمارالأجنبيالمباشروالنموالاقتصاديفي )الجزائر،تونس،المغر). Paper include the require of degree graduate. University ElhadjLakhdar, Batna. Algeria.40. Romer, P.M. (1986).Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth. Journal of Political S. IbiAjayi (2006),"Foreign Direct Investmentin Sub-Saharan Africa: Origins, Targets, Saida, H., & Hadjer. B. (2008).. الاستثمارالأجنبيالمباشرفيالدولالنامية – حالةالجزائر Thesis include the require of graduate degree. University Yahya Fares. Media. Algeria.129. Shahdy, F., Elyamin. S.,&Lakhal,N. (2005) .إشكاليةالاستثمارالأجنبيالمباشرفيالجزائر .Project Paper include the require of graduate degree. High School of Commerce. Algeria. 23. Solow, R. (1956). A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth. Quarterly Journal Sumei tang, E.A selvanathan and s. selvanathan(2008) foreign direct investment investment,domestic investment and economic growth in china: Times series analysis, the world economic journal compitation,blackwell publishing . Swan, T.W. (1956). Economic Growth and Capital Accumulation . Economic Record, 32 trade. African Journal of Business Management Vol. 6 (15), pp. 5243-5248, 18 April, 2012. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.(1999). World Investment Report. New York and Geneva, UNCTAD. Zhang, Kevin H. (2005), "China‘s Export Competitiveness," in Kevin H. Zhang ed., China as An World Factory, London: Routledge, forthcoming.