Stability of money demand in Pakistan: the impact of exchange rate, remittances, and financial liberalization

Understanding the demand for money in an economy is an important prerequisite for formulating and conducting monetary policy. Several macroeconomic variables influence the money demand. Pakistan has undergone significant changes in the macroeconomic landscape over the years such as exchange rate cha...

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Main Author: Ghumro, Niaz Hussain
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Language:eng
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Published: 2016
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advisor Abd Karim, Mohd Zaini
topic HG Finance
spellingShingle HG Finance
Ghumro, Niaz Hussain
Stability of money demand in Pakistan: the impact of exchange rate, remittances, and financial liberalization
description Understanding the demand for money in an economy is an important prerequisite for formulating and conducting monetary policy. Several macroeconomic variables influence the money demand. Pakistan has undergone significant changes in the macroeconomic landscape over the years such as exchange rate changes with its volatility, remittances, and financial liberalization. Such changes in the economy might have caused shifts in the parameters of the money demand function over time, making the function unreliable for policy decisions. It is therefore necessary to investigate money demand function in the Pakistan, including exchange rate with its volatility, remittances, and financial liberalization in order to capture their long-run and short-run effects. Using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds Testing Approach, this study sought to examine the relationship between demand for money and exchange rate with its volatility, remittances and the pace of financial liberalization in Pakistan using data from 1972 to 2014. Empirical results of the study reveal that exchange rate and its volatility support the wealth effect hypothesis, and uncertainty in the exchange rate drives more holding of the domestic currency. The positive and inelastic coefficient of remittances show the increasing patterns of consumption among the households and revealing inefficiency of regular channels of remittances in Pakistan. Financial liberalization increases money demand and its small coefficient reveals that the pace of financial liberalization is still growing. Finally, this thesis examines the stability of both models for policy implementation. The results reveal that only model for real narrow money demand is stable. Thus, the policy makers should consider real narrow money demand as a policy tool in Pakistan
format Thesis
qualification_name Ph.D.
qualification_level Doctorate
author Ghumro, Niaz Hussain
author_facet Ghumro, Niaz Hussain
author_sort Ghumro, Niaz Hussain
title Stability of money demand in Pakistan: the impact of exchange rate, remittances, and financial liberalization
title_short Stability of money demand in Pakistan: the impact of exchange rate, remittances, and financial liberalization
title_full Stability of money demand in Pakistan: the impact of exchange rate, remittances, and financial liberalization
title_fullStr Stability of money demand in Pakistan: the impact of exchange rate, remittances, and financial liberalization
title_full_unstemmed Stability of money demand in Pakistan: the impact of exchange rate, remittances, and financial liberalization
title_sort stability of money demand in pakistan: the impact of exchange rate, remittances, and financial liberalization
granting_institution Universiti Utara Malaysia
granting_department Othman Yeop Abdullah Graduate School of Business
publishDate 2016
url https://etd.uum.edu.my/6334/1/s94972_01.pdf
https://etd.uum.edu.my/6334/2/s94972_02.pdf
_version_ 1747828060539846656
spelling my-uum-etd.63342021-04-05T02:22:07Z Stability of money demand in Pakistan: the impact of exchange rate, remittances, and financial liberalization 2016 Ghumro, Niaz Hussain Abd Karim, Mohd Zaini Othman Yeop Abdullah Graduate School of Business Othman Yeop Abdullah Graduate School of Business HG Finance Understanding the demand for money in an economy is an important prerequisite for formulating and conducting monetary policy. Several macroeconomic variables influence the money demand. Pakistan has undergone significant changes in the macroeconomic landscape over the years such as exchange rate changes with its volatility, remittances, and financial liberalization. Such changes in the economy might have caused shifts in the parameters of the money demand function over time, making the function unreliable for policy decisions. It is therefore necessary to investigate money demand function in the Pakistan, including exchange rate with its volatility, remittances, and financial liberalization in order to capture their long-run and short-run effects. Using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds Testing Approach, this study sought to examine the relationship between demand for money and exchange rate with its volatility, remittances and the pace of financial liberalization in Pakistan using data from 1972 to 2014. Empirical results of the study reveal that exchange rate and its volatility support the wealth effect hypothesis, and uncertainty in the exchange rate drives more holding of the domestic currency. The positive and inelastic coefficient of remittances show the increasing patterns of consumption among the households and revealing inefficiency of regular channels of remittances in Pakistan. Financial liberalization increases money demand and its small coefficient reveals that the pace of financial liberalization is still growing. Finally, this thesis examines the stability of both models for policy implementation. The results reveal that only model for real narrow money demand is stable. Thus, the policy makers should consider real narrow money demand as a policy tool in Pakistan 2016 Thesis https://etd.uum.edu.my/6334/ https://etd.uum.edu.my/6334/1/s94972_01.pdf text eng public https://etd.uum.edu.my/6334/2/s94972_02.pdf text eng public Ph.D. doctoral Universiti Utara Malaysia Abdullah, H., Ali, J., & Matahir, H. (2010). Re-examining the demand for money in ASEAN-5 countries. Asian Social Science, 6(7), 146-155. Abdul-Mumuni, A., & Quaidoo, C. (2016). Effect of international remittances on inflation in Ghana using the Bounds Testing Approach. Business and Economic Research, 6(1), 192-209. Achsani, N. A. (2010). 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