Analisis Pergerakan Harga Minyak Kelapa Sawit Malaysia

This study is a report on the analysis of the movement price of palm oil in Malaysia. The price of palm oil experiences an unstable fluctuation from time to time. The two main analyses that were carried out were correlation analysis and time series analysis. There were 13 variables have been studied...

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Main Author: Shamsuritawati, Sharif
Format: Thesis
Language:eng
eng
Published: 2002
Subjects:
Online Access:https://etd.uum.edu.my/951/1/SHAMSHURITAWATI_BT._SHARIF.pdf
https://etd.uum.edu.my/951/2/1.SHAMSHURITAWATI_BT._SHARIF.pdf
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spelling my-uum-etd.9512013-07-24T12:09:46Z Analisis Pergerakan Harga Minyak Kelapa Sawit Malaysia 2002 Shamsuritawati, Sharif Sekolah Siswazah Graduate School HD Industries. Land use. Labor. This study is a report on the analysis of the movement price of palm oil in Malaysia. The price of palm oil experiences an unstable fluctuation from time to time. The two main analyses that were carried out were correlation analysis and time series analysis. There were 13 variables have been studied to determine the correlation with price of palm oil. Meanwhile data beginning from January 1985 till December 2001 were used in forecasting employing a time series analysis. There are seven forecasting model involved which are linear model, quadratic model, nonlinear model, seasonal variation, moving average, exponential smoothing and Box-Jenkins model. The Box-Jenkins model that is the ARIMA(0,1,4) is the best model compared to other ARIMA(p,d,q) models after first series differential was performed to obtain a stationary data. After comparing the values of mean square error and mean absolute deviation for all models, there are three models chosen to represent the time series data of the price of palm oil which are quadratic model, exponential smoothing model and ARIMA(0,1,4) model. 2002 Thesis https://etd.uum.edu.my/951/ https://etd.uum.edu.my/951/1/SHAMSHURITAWATI_BT._SHARIF.pdf application/pdf eng validuser https://etd.uum.edu.my/951/2/1.SHAMSHURITAWATI_BT._SHARIF.pdf application/pdf eng public masters masters Universiti Utara Malaysia
institution Universiti Utara Malaysia
collection UUM ETD
language eng
eng
topic HD Industries
Land use
Labor.
spellingShingle HD Industries
Land use
Labor.
Shamsuritawati, Sharif
Analisis Pergerakan Harga Minyak Kelapa Sawit Malaysia
description This study is a report on the analysis of the movement price of palm oil in Malaysia. The price of palm oil experiences an unstable fluctuation from time to time. The two main analyses that were carried out were correlation analysis and time series analysis. There were 13 variables have been studied to determine the correlation with price of palm oil. Meanwhile data beginning from January 1985 till December 2001 were used in forecasting employing a time series analysis. There are seven forecasting model involved which are linear model, quadratic model, nonlinear model, seasonal variation, moving average, exponential smoothing and Box-Jenkins model. The Box-Jenkins model that is the ARIMA(0,1,4) is the best model compared to other ARIMA(p,d,q) models after first series differential was performed to obtain a stationary data. After comparing the values of mean square error and mean absolute deviation for all models, there are three models chosen to represent the time series data of the price of palm oil which are quadratic model, exponential smoothing model and ARIMA(0,1,4) model.
format Thesis
qualification_name masters
qualification_level Master's degree
author Shamsuritawati, Sharif
author_facet Shamsuritawati, Sharif
author_sort Shamsuritawati, Sharif
title Analisis Pergerakan Harga Minyak Kelapa Sawit Malaysia
title_short Analisis Pergerakan Harga Minyak Kelapa Sawit Malaysia
title_full Analisis Pergerakan Harga Minyak Kelapa Sawit Malaysia
title_fullStr Analisis Pergerakan Harga Minyak Kelapa Sawit Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Analisis Pergerakan Harga Minyak Kelapa Sawit Malaysia
title_sort analisis pergerakan harga minyak kelapa sawit malaysia
granting_institution Universiti Utara Malaysia
granting_department Sekolah Siswazah
publishDate 2002
url https://etd.uum.edu.my/951/1/SHAMSHURITAWATI_BT._SHARIF.pdf
https://etd.uum.edu.my/951/2/1.SHAMSHURITAWATI_BT._SHARIF.pdf
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