Bayesian estimation of reliability

Most of statistical theory thought at the undergraduate level is based on classical probability or frequentist probability. Also, the estimation techniques widely used are maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and methods of moment. This dissertation discusses the subjective probability as an alternat...

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主要作者: Rahmi, Depriwana
格式: Thesis
语言:English
出版: 2005
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在线阅读:http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/34744/1/DepriwanaRahmiMFS2005.pdf
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总结:Most of statistical theory thought at the undergraduate level is based on classical probability or frequentist probability. Also, the estimation techniques widely used are maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and methods of moment. This dissertation discusses the subjective probability as an alternative theory, where Bayesian estimation is used. Based on a random sample of 20 observations that was generated from Weibull distribution, we compare the reliability estimation using MLE and Bayesian approach. We found out that the mean percentage error for Bayesian is 7.9678, which is lower than MLE mean percentage error of 10.8434. Thus, bayesian reliability estimation is better.